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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2015 Feb 17 1233 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
17 Feb 2015	120	011
18 Feb 2015	125	007
19 Feb 2015	130	007

Bulletin

The solar activity during the past 24 hours was very low with only limited flaring activity at the B-level from NOAA active region (AR) 2282. All regions (AR) NOAA 2282, 2284 and 2285 were relatively stable or showed slight decay. Within the next 48 hours flaring activity is expected to increase to the C-level, with a few returning regions as potential source regions, like the old NOAA region 2268. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. The interplanetary magnetic field was variable with a magnitude between 10 and 16 nT and a varying Bz component between -12 and 11 nT. The phi angle mostly was negative through the period. The solar wind speed remained mostly at 350 km/s, with more variation from 4 UT on, reaching values up to 440 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled, with a single time slot of active conditions at the local level (K=4, Dourbes). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain so, until the arrival of a high speed stream (HSS) from a negative northern coronal hole estimated from the end of 20th of February.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 025, na základě 08 stanic.

Solární indexy za 16 Feb 2015

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	118
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	009
Odhadovaný Ap	007
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	031 - Na základě 20 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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