Prohlížíte si archiv čtvrtek 2. července 2015

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2015 Jul 02 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
02 Jul 2015	110	005
03 Jul 2015	111	007
04 Jul 2015	112	012

Bulletin

Solar activity has been low, NOAA ARs 2373 and 2376 have shown little activity, producing 3 C-class flares in the past 24 hours. The largest flares were a C1.4 class flare produced by AR 2376 peaking at 22:51 UT on 01-Jul-2015 and another C1.4 flare produced by AR 2373 peaking at 06:18 UT on 02-Jul-2015. An eruption occurred from beyond the western limb of the Sun at around 14:00 UT on 01-Jul-2015, the eruption produced a full halo CME, which was detected by CACTUS at 14:36 on 01-Jul-2015 with a velocity of 346 km / s. The CME exhibited no on-disk signatures and is believed to be back-sided, occurring close to the west limb. There was a small increase in protons related to the event, but this did not exceed 5 pfu at the Earth.

The solar wind speed has been steadily decreasing over the past 24 hours, from 450 to 400 km / s. The total magnetic field has been relatively stable around 5 - 6 nT, and the Bz component has fluctuated from positive to negative, between +6 and -5 nT over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-2 (NOAA) and local K index 0-3 over the past 24 hours, similar conditions are expected to persist. There was one CME in the past 24 hours (see details above), which emerged from beyond the West limb, it is not expected to produce any significant activity at the Earth. There is one transient coronal hole currently located in the South, which may enhance solar wind speeds at the Earth in a few days.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 083, na základě 19 stanic.

Solární indexy za 01 Jul 2015

Wolfovo číslo Catania	053
10cm sluneční tok	109
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	008
Odhadovaný Ap	007
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	058 - Na základě 29 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

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