Prohlížíte si archiv pondělí 3. dubna 2017

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2017 Apr 03 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
03 Apr 2017	108	003
04 Apr 2017	103	008
05 Apr 2017	100	005

Bulletin

Solar activity was at high levels during the period. Four M-class flares were recorded, the strongest being an M5.7 event peaking at 20:33UT. NOAA 2644 has developed a complex magnetic configuration and was the source of all important flaring. This region is approaching the west limb. NOAA 2645 was quiet, despite the important delta structure in its trailing portion. A long duration M2 flare peaking at 18:38UT affected the 20UT value of the 10.7cm radio flux. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Further M-class flaring is expected, with a chance on an X-class flare. As both NOAA 2644 and 2645 are in the western solar hemisphere, a major flare from any of these regions may drive the greater than 10MeV proton levels above event threshold.

Solar wind speed declined from about 510 km/s to values around 420 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -3 nT and +2 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed towards the Sun, except for the first 3 and last 3 hours of the period (away from the Sun). There's a small chance that the particle stream from a weak positive coronal hole may affect the earth environment on 4 April.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels and is expected to remain so.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 102, na základě 20 stanic.

Solární indexy za 02 Apr 2017

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	112
AK Chambon La Forêt	011
AK Wingst	008
Odhadovaný Ap	008
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	084 - Na základě 36 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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