Prohlížíte si archiv středa 5. dubna 2017

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2017 Apr 05 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
05 Apr 2017	091	004
06 Apr 2017	089	005
07 Apr 2017	087	005

Bulletin

Solar activity was at low levels during the period. Flaring activity decreased as NOAA 2644 rounded the west limb. NOAA 2645 produced most of the flaring, including a C4.9 event peaking at 23:42UT, the strongest event of the period. This region still has a complex magnetic trailing portion. The 10.7cm radio flux dropped from 108 sfu on 3 April to 94 sfu on 4 April. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Mostly C-class flaring is expected, with a chance on an isolated M-class flare. A major flare from NOAA 2645 may drive the proton levels above event threshold.

During the first half of the period, solar wind speed was somewhat enhanced with speeds around 470 km/s. This may be the brief and weak influence of the moderate speed stream from the positive equatorial coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed was near 410 km/s during the second half of the period. Bz was mostly positive, fluctuating between +13 and -6 nT. Total magnetic field strength B was in a generally declining trend, from 16 to 5 nT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field was variable, pointing towards the Sun by the end of the period.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, and is expected to remain so. There's a small chance on an active episode.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 054, na základě 21 stanic.

Solární indexy za 04 Apr 2017

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	094
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	016
Odhadovaný Ap	018
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	079 - Na základě 33 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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