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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2017 Sep 25 1312 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
25 Sep 2017	081	006
26 Sep 2017	083	008
27 Sep 2017	085	013

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant flares have been recorded. NOAA AR region 2681 (Catania group 55) has been most active, producing two B-class flares. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in coronograph observations. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a small probability of C-class flares.

The solar wind parameters remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours (except one short-term weak enhancement around midnight due to the influence of a small negative polarity CH HSS). The solar wind speed is presently about 390 km/s and still decreasing. The total magnetic field strength has been slowly decreasing from around 10 nT to 2 nT. The Bz component fluctuated around 0 nT and was mainly positive, ranging between -3 and +2.5 nT (except two singular episodes of Bz = -6 and -9 nT yesterday evening). Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be from quiet to unsettled today and tomorrow. Active conditions till minor geomagnetic storms can be expected on September 27 due to the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 039, na základě 22 stanic.

Solární indexy za 24 Sep 2017

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	087
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	006
Odhadovaný Ap	006
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	022 - Na základě 24 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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