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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2017 Dec 21 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
21 Dec 2017	075	005
22 Dec 2017	076	007
23 Dec 2017	077	032

Bulletin

A couple of low level B flares were recorded from Catania group 67 (NOAA region 2692) which has become a bipolar region and has shown clear growth and development of its magnetic complexity. Chances for possible C flaring have hence increased but are still low. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data. Proton flux values are at background levels and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind was nominal with solar wind speed decreasing from near 450 km/s to around 400 km/s and total magnetic field in the 3-4nT range. Solar wind conditions may increase slightly. However, the leading part of the previously elongated coronal hole, that now seems to have become detachedv is not expected to result in any significant high speed stream effects. The more significant high speed stream influence from the trailing part of that previously elongated coronal hole is expected to increase Solar wind conditions from around noon December 23. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (both local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 0-2). They are expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels but increasing towards noon December 23 when active periods and possibly minor storms become possible under the influence of the anticipated high speed stream.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 020, na základě 07 stanic.

Solární indexy za 20 Dec 2017

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	074
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	006
Odhadovaný Ap	005
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	014 - Na základě 12 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

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