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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2018 Nov 18 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
18 Nov 2018	073	005
19 Nov 2018	073	007
20 Nov 2018	073	004

Bulletin

There were no flares on the visible solar disc of the Sun in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 15%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 275 and 340 km/s, with current values around 330 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun and has increased from about 4 to 7.5 nT since 04:45 UT on November 18. This may be the first sign of the arrival of a solar wind stream from a weak, negative polarity, equatorial coronal hole. Bz was never below -5 nT.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 1; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on November 18, 19 and 20, with a chance for active intervals due to the possible arrival of a solar wind stream from a weak, negative polarity, equatorial coronal hole.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 015, na základě 16 stanic.

Solární indexy za 17 Nov 2018

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	073
AK Chambon La Forêt	003
AK Wingst	001
Odhadovaný Ap	001
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	016 - Na základě 29 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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