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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2018 Dec 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
08 Dec 2018	071	012
09 Dec 2018	072	011
10 Dec 2018	073	010

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The bipolar sunspot group (Catania sunspot group 2, NOAA 2729) remained globally stable and did not produce any significant flare. A new region is visible on the East limb, but so far do not show any strong activity. Flaring conditions are expected to remain quiet with a very small change of C-class flare.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection has been observed. The greater than 10 MeV solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind environment is under the influence of the enhanced solar wind associated with the Coronal Hole (which reached the central meridian on December 04). The wind speed continued to gradually increase from about 425 km/s to reach the values around 570 km/s ; The interplanetary magnetic field strength fluctuated between 5 and 10 nT and the southward magnetic component between -7 and 6 nT being mainly positive. The enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to persist in the following days as long as Earth remains under the influence of the solar wind associated with the coronal hole.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled with short periods of active condition observed by the local station in Dourbes (K-Dourbs=4) on December 7, at 20:00 UT and 21:00 UT. The conditions are expected to remain the same in response to an enhanced interplanetary magnetic field, short periods of active condition are possible especially if there is a prolonged period of southward directed Bz component.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 000, na základě 09 stanic.

Solární indexy za 07 Dec 2018

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	///
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	///
Odhadovaný Ap	///
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	018 - Na základě 16 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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