Prohlížíte si archiv pátek 14. prosince 2018

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2018 Dec 14 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
14 Dec 2018	069	003
15 Dec 2018	069	004
16 Dec 2018	069	013

Bulletin

The Sun is spotless and did not produce any flares in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only 2%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 340 and 425 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 2 and 6 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. A weak solar wind stream associated with a negative polarity, equatorial-South polar coronal hole is expected to arrive near Earth on December 16.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 1; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 14 and 15. There is a chance for active intervals on December 16, related to the expected arrival of a weak solar wind stream associated with a negative polarity, equatorial-South polar coronal hole.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 010, na základě 09 stanic.

Solární indexy za 13 Dec 2018

Wolfovo číslo Catania	000
10cm sluneční tok	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	003
AK Wingst	002
Odhadovaný Ap	001
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	000 - Na základě 24 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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