Prohlížíte si archiv pondělí 17. prosince 2018

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2018 Dec 17 1230 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
17 Dec 2018	070	013
18 Dec 2018	070	010
19 Dec 2018	070	004

Bulletin

The Sun did not produce any B flares or brighter in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only 2%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

In the early UT hours of December 17, the solar wind near Earth as observed by DSCOVR showed the first signs of influence from an anticipated solar wind stream associated with a negative polarity, equatorial-South polar coronal hole. After a rise in solar wind density, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) rose to a maximum of around 12 nT. Meanwhile, the solar wind speed has increased from about 300 to 440 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun and its magnitude has current values around 6 nT. Bz was never below -6 nT.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2) were registered in the past 24 hours. There is a chance for active intervals (K Dourbes = 4) on December 17 and 18, related to the arrival of a solar wind stream associated with a negative polarity, equatorial-South polar coronal hole. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 19.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 000, na základě 15 stanic.

Solární indexy za 16 Dec 2018

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	006
AK Wingst	002
Odhadovaný Ap	002
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	000 - Na základě 17 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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