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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2020 Nov 05 1235 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
05 Nov 2020	085	007
06 Nov 2020	085	011
07 Nov 2020	085	007

Bulletin

The sunspot region (Catania sunspot group 50, NOAA-AR 2781) has grown. It also continued to show some flaring activities, including a C7.3-class flare peaking at 00:22 UTC on November 5. The flaring activity is expected to continue with more C-class flare coming from NOAA-AR 2781, with a small chance of M-class flare.

No coronal mass ejections were observed to be associated with the C7.3-class flare in the sunspot region (Catania sunspot group 50, NOAA-AR 2781). Also, no Earth directed coronal mass ejections were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to stay at background levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electrons flux was below the 10^3 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to increase and cross 10^3 pfu threshold with the arrival of the enhancement of the solar wind parameters today and tomorrow.

The Earth was under the influence of the slow solar wind streams. The solar wind parameters (DSCOVR) showed nominal values with the solar wind speed below 350 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field below 5 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -2.7 nT and 3 nT. The solar wind parameters may slightly be enhanced later on November 5 and 6 due to the influence of the solar wind coming from the south coronal hole that extends up to -30 degree latitude.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet. Unsettled conditions are expected with the arrival of the enhanced solar wind conditions later today and tomorrow.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 025, na základě 16 stanic.

Solární indexy za 04 Nov 2020

Wolfovo číslo Catania	022
10cm sluneční tok	088
AK Chambon La Forêt	003
AK Wingst	003
Odhadovaný Ap	001
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	021 - Na základě 27 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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