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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2022 Jun 25 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
25 Jun 2022	115	010
26 Jun 2022	115	012
27 Jun 2022	115	011

Bulletin

The solar flaring activity was at low levels over the past 24 hours with only very few small C-class flares from several sunspots groups visible on the disc seen from Earth. We expect a very low flaring activity with a small chance of isolated C-class flares.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images over the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below 1000 pfu alert threshold and it is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The electron fluence was at normal to moderate levels and is expected to remain normal to moderated levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters in Earth environment were showing a slow solar wind-speed regime: the wind speed ranged between 354 km/s and 462 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude showed some higher values with an increase from 5 nT in the beginning of the periods to the current values aournd 13 nT. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between -8.3 nT and 10.4 nT being predominately negative. The high-speed streams coming from the coronal holes (negative polarity) may influence the solar wind conditions and contribute to its enhancement in next days.

The geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet to unsettle (NOAA Kp and local K-Belgium 1-3). An isolated period of active conditions (K-Belgium = 4) was observed from local stations in Belgium in responses to the prolonged negative values of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet to unsettle with possible periods of active conditions in responses to the prolonged negative values of the Bz component.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 052, na základě 19 stanic.

Solární indexy za 24 Jun 2022

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	115
AK Chambon La Forêt	016
AK Wingst	010
Odhadovaný Ap	011
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	069 - Na základě 21 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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