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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2022 Oct 31 1233 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
31 Oct 2022	133	009
01 Nov 2022	135	015
02 Nov 2022	135	011

Bulletin

The solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at low levels with isolated low C-class flaring. There are four numbered active regions on the visible solar disk all classified as magnetic type beta. NOAA 3135 underwent some development and is currently the largest active region, but has remained quiet. NOAA 3130 has rotated almost fully behind the west limb producing a C1.3-class flare. NOAA 3131 remained stable and NOAA 3133 remained small producing a C1.1-class flare. The flaring activity is expected to be at very low to low levels over the next 24 hours with isolated C-class flaring.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has been primarily above the1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence has reached moderate levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) continued to be under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from a positive polarity coronal hole. The solar wind velocity has followed a declining trend, ranging from 570 to 436 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was weak with a maximum value of 5.6 nT and a minimum Bz of -4.8 nT. The magnetic field was predominantly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun). The solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced over the next 24 hours under the waning influence of the HSS from the currently geo-effective positive polarity coronal hole and an expected new HSS arrival later tomorrow.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 24 hours in response to the ongoing HSS with possible isolated active periods and a chance for reaching a minor storm level later on Nov 1st.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 057, na základě 13 stanic.

Solární indexy za 30 Oct 2022

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	131
AK Chambon La Forêt	024
AK Wingst	014
Odhadovaný Ap	014
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	074 - Na základě 20 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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