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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Apr 14 1234 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
14 Apr 2023	165	003
15 Apr 2023	165	005
16 Apr 2023	165	005

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours, the solar flaring activity has been at low levels with a total of 8 low level C-class flares. Most of the flaring activity originated from the NOAA AR3281, which recently rotated onto the visible side of the solar disk. A total of 8 numbered active regions are presently observed on the visible side of the solar disk, all with a simple configuration of their photospheric magnetic field (alpha or beta). For the next 24 hours, we expect C-class flares and possibly isolated M-class flares.

During the last 24 hours there were no potentially Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) detected in the available coronagraph observations.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has been below the 1000 pfu threshold. It is possible that an increase is observed over the coming days. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to stay below the threshold over the next 24 hours.

Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed was between values of 350 km/s and 400km/s, while the interplanetary magnetic field strength was about 6 nT. For the coming days, we expect Earth to be under minor influences of the solar wind originating from the two positive polarity coronal holes which crossed the central meridian over the past days.

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet and we expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 164, na základě 13 stanic.

Solární indexy za 13 Apr 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	160
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	///
Odhadovaný Ap	008
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	140 - Na základě 21 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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