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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Nov 16 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
16 Nov 2023	119	007
17 Nov 2023	119	007
18 Nov 2023	119	007

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

There are three active regions visible on the disk (three rotated out of view in the last 24 hours). Only C-class flaring has been observed in the last 24 hours. The strongest flare was a C7.6 from NOAA AR 3485 close to the west limb (beta magnetic field configuration), peaking at 12:12 UTC on 15 November. More C-class flares can be expected in the next 24 hours.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

Two partial halo CMEs were observed erupting on 15 November (at 01:25 UTC and at 06:12 UTC), both eruptions were directed towards the north and most likely originated from the backside of the Sun as no related activity is seen on the frontside, so they are not expected to affect the Earth.

Solární bouře

The Earth is immersed in slow solar wind, over the last 24 hours solar wind speed has remained constant around 400 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Same conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled globally (NOAA KP 3) and reached active levels locally (K_Bel 4). Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 036, na základě 10 stanic.

Solární indexy za 15 Nov 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	041
10cm sluneční tok	119
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	016
Odhadovaný Ap	016
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	036 - Na základě 21 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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