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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Nov 24 1248 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
24 Nov 2023	194	012
25 Nov 2023	220	017
26 Nov 2023	270	019

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. NOAA AR 3489 was the source of the flare with the highest output in X-ray over the past 24 hours, the M1.1 flare, which peaked at 24 November 09:34 UT.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

From the Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) observed the past 24 hours, none is currently believed to be earth-directed. Additionally, it is unclear where there was a disk-centre CME following the C4.1 flare peaking at 23 November 21:05UT, with source of origin NOAA AR 3490. Further analysis will be made as more data become available.

Koronální díra

here is one coronal hole present centre-disk, the mid latitude positive polarity coronal hole.

Solární bouře

Solar wind parameters are in the slow solar wind regime, with some transient features having a mild influence. Over the next 24 hours, we are expecting the arrival of a high speed stream emanating from the mid latitudinal positive polarity coronal hole as well as impact from the only slightly anticipated glancing blow from the CME occurring at 22 November 06:48UT.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Belgium 3) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a slight probability of active conditions over the next 24 hours, due to possible high-speed stream arrival.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below threshold and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was just below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to increase towards moderate levels in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected too increase towards moderate levels for the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 165, na základě 11 stanic.

Solární indexy za 23 Nov 2023

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	194
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	006
Odhadovaný Ap	006
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	189 - Na základě 15 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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