Prohlížíte si archiv neděle 1. června 2025

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2025 Jun 01 1241 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Major (ISES: Severe) magstorm expected (A>=100 or K>=7)

Sluneční protony

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

	10cm tok	Ap
01 Jun 2025	167	130
02 Jun 2025	170	082
03 Jun 2025	173	037

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours with 1 M-class flare recorded. The largest flare was an M2.9 flare (SIDC Flare 4514) peaking on May 31 at 15:49 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 469 (NOAA Active Region 4100, magnetic type Beta-Gamma-Delta) and was associated with a Type IV radio burst. This region was responsible for most of the flaring activity. SIDC Sunspot group 508 (NOAA Active region 4099, magnetic type Beta) also produced multiple low-level C-class flares. SIDC sunspot group 491(NOAA Active region 4092) has rotated over the west limb and there are currently 6 numbered sunspot groups on the solar disk. The rest of these regions were mostly quiet. The solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares expected and a chance for X-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

A dimming was observed on disk after the M2.9 flare (SIDC Flare 4514) associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 469 (NOAA Active Region 4100) however, no clear associated Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible. No other Earth directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery.

Koronální díra

An extended equatorial coronal hole connecting to the northern polar coronal hole (combined SIDC Coronal Hole 116 and 112) continues to transit the central meridian since May 26. The northern polar extension of the coronal hole is now passing the central meridian.

Solární bouře

The solar wind parameters showed the arrival of an ICME associated with the halo coronal CME first detected in SOHO/LASCO-C2 images from early on May 31. A strong shock was registered by DSCOVR at 05:27UTC on June 01, when the solar wind speed jumped from 770 km/s to 980 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field values increased from 6nT to 26nT and Bz reached -24nT. The solar wind speed continued to gradually increase and since 08:00 UTC and has been stable around 1000 km/s. At the end of the period, the total interplanetary magnetic field also remains elevated around 20 nT. The solar wind speed and magnetic field are expected to remain extremely high over the next 24 hours, due to the ongoing ICME passage.

Geomagnetismus

Geomagnetic conditions reached severe storm levels globally (Kp 8), between 06:00 and 09:00 UTC on June 01, due to the ICME arrival of the CME from early on May 31. Locally, moderate storm conditions were observed (K Bel 6). Further periods of major to severe storm conditions (Kp 8 and Kp 7) are expected over the next 24 hours, due to the expected ongoing ICME passage.

Úrovně protonového toku

The greater than 10 MeV continued to increase and crossed 10 pfu threshold from 17:10 UTC May 31. A further increase was recorded from 05:30 UTC June 01, when the proton flux also crossed the 100 pfu threshold, likely associated with the ICME shock arrival. The proton flux reached a maximum of 666 pfu at 09:10 UTC June 01. The proton flux is expected to remain elevated and above the 10 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and 19 was above the 1000 pfu threshold for most of the period reducing below it from 06:10 UTC on June 01. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours due to the ICME arrival. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate to high levels and is expected to be at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 124, na základě 15 stanic.

Solární indexy za 31 May 2025

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	164
AK Chambon La Forêt	034
AK Wingst	///
Odhadovaný Ap	019
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	115 - Na základě 30 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

Všechny časy v UTC

<< Přejít na stránku s denním přehledem