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Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2026 Feb 01 1231 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
01 Feb 2026	146	004
02 Feb 2026	150	004
03 Feb 2026	155	004

Slunečně aktivní oblasti a vzplanutí

Solar flaring activity has reached high levels over the past 24 hours, with 5 M-class flares identified. A total of 9 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the visible solar disk. SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366) remains by far the most complex region, responsible for all recorded M-class flaring. It has exhibited further growth and remains classified as magnetic type beta-gamma-delta. The strongest activity it produced was an M6.6 flare (SIDC Flare 6792) with peak time 10:02 UTC on Feb 01. The remaining 8 regions have been magnetically simple (classified as magnetic type alpha or beta). Several regions have decayed, SIDC Sunspot Group 769 (NOAA Active Region 4349) has rotated over the west limb and a new region, SIDC Sunspot Group 786 (alpha), has rotated onto disc from behind the east limb. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels over the next 24 hours with very likely M-class flares and increasing probability for X-class flaring.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been identified in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

Solární bouře

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (as measured by ACE at L1) have returned to nominal slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind speed varied in the range of 325 km/s to 497 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) was weak with a maximum magnitude of 5.7 nT and a minimum north-south (Bz) component of - 4.6 nT. The B field phi angle remained predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind parameters are expected to reflect nominal slow solar wind conditions over the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetismus

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours have been globally quiet. Quiet to unsettled conditions were observed locally over Belgium. Predominantly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Úrovně protonového toku

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and it is expected to remain so over the 24 hours. Some enhancements are possible in case of strong eruptive activity particularly related to SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366).

Elektronové toky na geostacionární oběžné dráze

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was continuously exceeding the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain above the 1000 pfu threshold for prolonged periods of time over the next days. The 24-hour electron fluence was at the border of moderate to high levels and is expected to remain so over the 24 hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 106, na základě 09 stanic.

Solární indexy za 31 Jan 2026

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	141
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	005
Odhadovaný Ap	004
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	108 - Na základě 16 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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