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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2013 Nov 06 1246 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm Fluss	Ap
06 Nov 2013	151	009
07 Nov 2013	154	005
08 Nov 2013	157	006

Bulletin

Since the X3.3 flare yesterday, the NOAA AR 1890 (no Catania number yet) produced only C-class flares, the strongest one being the C8.6 flare peaking at 08:51 UT today. Nevertheless, this active region still keeps the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. We expect further strong flaring from this region, primarily on the M-level. Another X-class flare is also probable. Given that the NOAA AR 1890 is approaching the solar central meridian, we maintain the warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 350 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 088, basierend auf 04 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 05 Nov 2013

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	149
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	004
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	088 - Basierend auf 09 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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