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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2013 Nov 08 1218 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm Fluss	Ap
08 Nov 2013	153	009
09 Nov 2013	154	004
10 Nov 2013	154	009

Bulletin

Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890) keeps the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, although the delta-spot got somewhat weaker. Catania sunspot group 32 (NOAA AR 1891) is reported to have the beta-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, although the delta-spot seems to lose its penumbra during the M2.3 flare peaking at 09:28 UT in this active region today. We expect flaring activity on the M-level from these two active regions. An X-class flare is possible in the Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890), but it is not very likely. Due to the position of this group close to the solar central meridian, we issue a warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 390 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so in the coming hours.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 105, basierend auf 11 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 07 Nov 2013

Wolf-Zahl Catania	194
10cm Solarflux	148
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	010
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	012
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	111 - Basierend auf 14 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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