Archiv von Dienstag, 11 März 2014 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Mar 11 1254 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
11 Mar 2014	155	005
12 Mar 2014	155	007
13 Mar 2014	155	007

Bulletin

There were four M flares and four C flares on the Sun during the past 24 hours, mostly released by NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. The brightest one was an M3.5 flare from NOAA AR 11996 peaking at 03:50 UT on March 11. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (95%) and for M flares around 75%, mainly from NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. There is a chance (35%) for an X flare. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE gradually decreased from around 340 km/s to around 300 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 3.5 and 6.5 nT. In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 11, 12, and 13.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 079, basierend auf 12 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 10 Mar 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	142
10cm Solarflux	152
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	004
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	005
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	083 - Basierend auf 24 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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