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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Mar 12 1232 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
12 Mar 2014	160	006
13 Mar 2014	160	007
14 Mar 2014	160	007

Bulletin

There were five C flares and one M flare on the Sun during the past 24 hours, released by NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. The M2.6 flare was produced by NOAA AR 11996 and peaked at 11:05 UT on March 12. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (above 90%) and for M flares around 60%, mainly from NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. There is a slight chance (25%) for an X flare. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE varied between about 270 and 330 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 4 and 6. In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 12, 13, and 14.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 092, basierend auf 15 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 11 Mar 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	116
10cm Solarflux	165
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	003
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	003
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	081 - Basierend auf 23 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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