Archiv von Montag, 17 März 2014 anzeigen

Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Mar 17 1301 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
17 Mar 2014	135	008
18 Mar 2014	135	008
19 Mar 2014	135	006

Bulletin

The X-ray radiation is at the top B-level reaching the low C-level with small and narrow peaks. The chance for more C-flares is between 60 and 80%. NOAA AR 2002 (S18W49) and 2006 (at the west limb, northern hemisphere) have the highest probability for C and M-flares. An isolated M-flare is possible. A recurrent northern coronal hole (CH) passed the central meridian on March 13. The CH is present since December 2013. The influence was limited during its passage in December 2013 and January 2014. In February, it's influence was masked due several CME arrivals. We expect only a minor influence with a Kp not exceeding 3. The solar wind parameters are at the moment such that there are no near Earth environment geomagnetic disturbances.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 091, basierend auf 14 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 16 Mar 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	136
AK Chambon La Forêt	003
AK Wingst	001
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	001
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	089 - Basierend auf 21 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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