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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Aug 07 1223 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm Fluss	Ap
07 Aug 2014	136	010
08 Aug 2014	130	010
09 Aug 2014	125	007

Bulletin

The strongest flare in the past 24 hours was a C1.1 event that occurred today at 05:52 UT in NOAA AR 2130. NOAA ARs 2132 and 2134 are stable and have simplified. We expect more flaring at C-class level in the coming days. A filament eruption was observed near NOAA AR 2127 at 10:40 UT today. No coronagraph images are currently available, but due to the location near the west limb a possible associated CME is not expected to be earth-directed. Activity seems to be increasing in the active region complex formed by NOAA active regions 2127, 2128 and 2130. These regions are currently close to the west limb. In case of a strong eruption occurs there, a proton event is not excluded. Therefore we issue a warning condition. The solar wind has returned to quiet conditions. Unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K up to 3) are possible later today or tomorrow in case a coronal hole high speed wind stream should arrive.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 085, basierend auf 20 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 06 Aug 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	137
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	007
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	008
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	083 - Basierend auf 21 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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