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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2015 Aug 18 1241 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
18 Aug 2015	085	021
19 Aug 2015	086	021
20 Aug 2015	086	017

Bulletin

Solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. There have been a few low magnitude B-class flares and no C, or above, class flares. However, a large Active Region (AR) has just rotated into view on the east limb and produced several B-class flares, this region may lead to increased activity. A second region on the south-east limb showed evidence of a failed eruption at 00:30 UT this morning. AR 2401 (Macintosh:Cro/Type:Beta) has remained stable. No evident Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were produced in the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed has been slowly decreasing over the past 24 hours, from 600 to 500 km/s. The total magnetic field has been stable around 5 nT, and the Bz component has fluctuated between +5 nT and -5nT over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active over the past 24 hours, with the Local K index (Dourbes) reaching 4 and the Kp index (NOAA) reaching 5 around 15:00 UT on 2015-Aug-17, these conditions are probably caused by a high speed stream created by a geoeffective coronal hole. The continued presence of the coronal hole is likely to cause continued unsettled conditions.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 042, basierend auf 12 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 17 Aug 2015

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	087
AK Chambon La Forêt	031
AK Wingst	024
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	027
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	028 - Basierend auf 18 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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