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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2016 Mar 06 1253 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
06 Mar 2016	095	007
07 Mar 2016	090	010
08 Mar 2016	088	006

Bulletin

Only B-class flares were reported during last 24 hours. The strongest reported flare was B7.2 flare (peak at 05:12 UT this morning) from the Catania sunspot group 33 (NOAA AR 2512). We expect solar activity to be low with a possibility for an isolated C-class flare in the coming hours (probability of about 30%). No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is still about 380 km/s. From about 20:00 UT on March 5, the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude started to slowly increase, coincidently with the smooth change of the phi angle and very small increase of the density. All this indicates possible arrival of an ICME. The magnetic field magnitude is currently about 20 nT and the Bz component was predominantly positive. If the Bz component of the magnetic field turns negative we can expect disturbed geomagnetic conditions. Since the solar wind speed is low we can expect unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions. Currently geomagnetic conditions are quiet.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 066, basierend auf 16 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 05 Mar 2016

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	096
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	003
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	003
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	069 - Basierend auf 17 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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