Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 agosto 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 241 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 AUG 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7986 (S12E12)
PRODUCED A SINGLE C1/SF EVENT AT 28/0806Z. THE REGION APPEARS
STABLE AT THIS TIME AS A THREE SPOT HSX GROUP. A DSF, SEVEN
DEGREES LONG WITH A GEOMETRIC CENTER AT N28E43, WAS RECORDED
OVERNIGHT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH A CONTINUED 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL
ISOLATED C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS FROM REGION 7986.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS CONTINUE
TO FLUCTUATE IN THE MODERATE TO HIGH RANGE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN
INCREASING TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE, WITH INCREASED
CHANCES FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR/MAJOR STORMING, ON DAYS
TWO AND THREE DUE TO THE ROTATION OF A FAVORABLY POSITIONED
CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 AUG a 31 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 AUG 073 Previsto 29 AUG-31 AUG 075/075/074 Media de 90 Días 28 AUG 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 AUG 016/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 AUG 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 AUG-31 AUG 020/020-020/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 AUG a 31 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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