Viendo archivo del martes, 24 septiembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 SEP 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS SPOTLESS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AS THE HIGH
SOLAR WIND SPEEDS HAVE ABATED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS DURING THE
NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS ANOTHER HIGH SPEED STREAM IS ANTICIPATED.
THIS RECURRENT DISTURBANCE SHOULD END BY 27 SEPTEMBER.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 SEP a 27 SEP
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 SEP 070 Previsto 25 SEP-27 SEP 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 24 SEP 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 SEP 022/025 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 SEP 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 SEP-27 SEP 025/030-020/025-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 SEP a 27 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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