Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 febrero 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Feb 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 FEB 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT FLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAJOR STORMING OCCURRED BETWEEN 08/1200 AND 08/1500Z. SPACE BASED SOLAR WIND DATA INCDATE A HIGH SPEED, LOW DENSITY STREAM AT THAT TIME.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MID LATITUDE ACTIVE LEVELS AND HIGH LATITUDE ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON DAY THREE OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE CME OBSERVED EARLY 7 FEBRUARY. HIGH LATITUDE STATIONS MAY SEE OCCASSIONAL PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING DURING THAT TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 FEB a 11 FEB
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 FEB 075
  Previsto   09 FEB-11 FEB  076/076/074
  Media de 90 Días        08 FEB 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 FEB  003/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 FEB  014/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 FEB-11 FEB  010/012-010/010-025/027
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 FEB a 11 FEB
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%35%
Tormenta Menor05%05%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%25%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%30%

All times in UTC

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