Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 febrero 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Feb 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 FEB 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8016 (S20W58), NOW A SINGLE AXX SPOT, IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS, THEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE AT ACTIVE LEVELS, WITH PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING POSSIBLE, ON DAYS TWO AND THREE IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE CME EVENT OBSERVED ON 07 FEBRUARY. HIGH LATITUDES SHOULD EXPECT PERIODS OF MINOR TO MAJOR STORMING DURING THAT PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 FEB a 12 FEB
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 FEB 073
  Previsto   10 FEB-12 FEB  074/074/072
  Media de 90 Días        09 FEB 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 FEB  020/021
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 FEB  015/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 FEB-12 FEB  010/010-025/027-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 FEB a 12 FEB
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%35%30%
Tormenta Menor05%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%15%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%40%40%
Tormenta Menor10%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%15%15%

All times in UTC

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