Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 mayo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 May 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 MAY 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY SMALL B-CLASS X-RAY
FLARES OCCURRED AND NO OPTICAL FLARES WERE REPORTED. REGION 8038
(N20W44) REMAINS THE ONLY SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. AN ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN REGION 8038.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME ACTIVE WITH POSSIBLE STORM PERIODS ON 15 MAY IN
RESPONSE TO THE CME EVENT DETECTED ON 12 MAY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 MAY 074 Previsto 15 MAY-17 MAY 072/072/070 Media de 90 Días 14 MAY 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 MAY 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 MAY 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 MAY-17 MAY 025/025-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 15% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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