Viendo archivo del martes, 13 mayo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 MAY 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8038 (N20W31) IS
THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION CURRENTLY ON THE DISK. THS REGION HAS GROWN
TO A C-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP BUT HAS NOT PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY
WITHIN THE PAST DAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. AN ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN REGION 8038.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET BECOMING ACTIVE TO STORM BY MAY 15 IN RESPONSE
TO YESTERDAY'S CME EVENT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 MAY a 16 MAY
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 MAY 074 Previsto 14 MAY-16 MAY 074/072/072 Media de 90 Días 13 MAY 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 MAY 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 MAY 002/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 MAY-16 MAY 015/012-025/025-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 MAY a 16 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 40% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 30% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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