Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 julio 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Jul 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 207 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 JUL 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW B-CLASS EVENTS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD. REGION 8065 (N17W70) HAS BECOME STABLE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GROUP'S MAGNETIC STRUCTURE HAS SIMPLIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IT NOW SHOWS A SIMPLE BETA CONFIGURATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENT OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN INCREASE IS EXPECTED SOMETIME BETWEEN LATE TOMORROW AND EARLY ON DAY THREE DUE TO EFFECTS FROM A POSSIBLE TRANSIENT ASSOCIATED WITH YESTERDAY'S LONG DURATION X-RAY EVENT. IN ADDITION TO THIS, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR EFFECTS FROM A CORONAL HOLE BEGINNING ON THE THIRD DAY. MOSTLY UNSETTLED LEVELS (BUT WITH POSSIBILITY FOR ACTIVE PERIODS) ARE EXPECTED ON DAY 2 AND UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS ARE FORECAST FOR DAY THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 JUL a 29 JUL
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 JUL 077
  Previsto   27 JUL-29 JUL  075/075/072
  Media de 90 Días        26 JUL 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 JUL  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JUL-29 JUL  010/008-015/012-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 JUL a 29 JUL
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%25%20%
Tormenta Menor10%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor10%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%15%15%

All times in UTC

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