Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 julio 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Jul 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 208 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 JUL 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. TODAY'S ACTIVITY CONSISTED
A OCCASIONAL B-CLASS FLARES. THE LARGEST OF THESE WAS A B9/SF FROM
REGION 8062 (N27W65) AT 0333Z. REGION 8065 (N16W83) IS THE LARGEST
GROUP ON THE SUN BUT DID NOT PRODUCE ANY FLARE ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW. BACKGROUND LEVELS SHOULD DECLINE OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AS
REGION 8065 ROTATES AROUND WEST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TOMORROW, WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME ACTIVE
PERIODS. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ON
THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS. THE INCREASE IS EXPECTED AS A RESPONSE TO
THE LONG DURATION EVENT OF 25 JULY (FOR DAY 2) AND DUE TO EFFECTS
FROM A FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE (DAYS 2 AND 3).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 JUL a 30 JUL
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 JUL 075 Previsto 28 JUL-30 JUL 072/070/070 Media de 90 Días 27 JUL 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 JUL 008/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 JUL 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 JUL-30 JUL 015/015-020/035-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 JUL a 30 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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