Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 octubre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Oct 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 278 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 OCT 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. REGION 8091 (N23E21)
PRODUCED A B3.9/SF AT 05/1757Z. A SPACE-BORNE INSTRUMENT DETECTED A
CORONAL MASS EJECTION IN THE SE QUADRANT OF THE SOLAR DISK NEAR
REGION 8090 (S28E03) COINCIDENT WITH THE FLARE IN REGION 8091.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOPHYSICAL FIELD IS EXPECTED
TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR NEXT 12-18 HOURS BECOMING
UNSETTLED-ACTIVE THEREAFTER DUE TO FAVORABLE POSITIONING OF AN
EXTENSION OF THE NORTHERN POLAR CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 OCT a 08 OCT
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 OCT 084 Previsto 06 OCT-08 OCT 082/082/084 Media de 90 Días 05 OCT 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 OCT 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 OCT 002/004 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 OCT-08 OCT 020/020-020/015-015/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 OCT a 08 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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