Viendo archivo del sábado, 1 noviembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Nov 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 305 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 NOV 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8100 (S19E00)
PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. THIS REGION STABILIZED BUT
INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
LOW. REGION 8100 MAINTAINS THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING C-CLASS
EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. BRIEF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED IN THE 01/0300-0600Z PERIOD.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT AGAIN REACHED HIGH
LEVELS DURING THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 NOV a 04 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 NOV 093 Previsto 02 NOV-04 NOV 094/095/095 Media de 90 Días 01 NOV 088
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 OCT 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 NOV 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 NOV-04 NOV 008/008-008/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 NOV a 04 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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