Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 noviembre 1997

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Nov 02 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 NOV 1997

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME LOW. REGION 8100 (S19W11) PRODUCED A C2/SB FLARE AT 02/0304Z WITH MINOR RADIO BURSTS AND A C2/SF AT 02/2049Z. REGION 8100 ALSO PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. GROWTH BEGAN ANEW IN THIS REGION LATE ON 01 NOV. SEVERAL SMALL ISLANDS OF OPPOSITE POLARITY EMERGED THROUGHOUT THE REGION COMPLICATING THE EXISTING BETA GAMMA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N30E13 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 8102.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY LOW. REGION 8100 SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE IMPULSIVE SMALL AREA C-CLASS EVENTS NEAR THE SMALL REGIONS OF EMERGING FLUX. OCCASIONAL SMALL M-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE - ESPECIALLY IF GROWTH AND INCREASE IN MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY IN THE REGION CONTINUE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE A BENIGN SLOW SPEED FLOW IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT AGAIN REACHED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR 03-04 NOV. MOSTLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE PREDICTED ON 06 NOV.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 NOV a 05 NOV
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 NOV 098
  Previsto   03 NOV-05 NOV  100/102/103
  Media de 90 Días        02 NOV 088
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 NOV  009/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 NOV  001/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 NOV-05 NOV  005/008-010/010-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 NOV a 05 NOV
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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