Viendo archivo del domingo, 21 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 355 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. TWO UNCORRELATED C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE REPORTING PERIOD, THE FIRST A C7 FLARE AT
21/0354Z, AND THE SECOND A LONG DURATION C2 EVENT AT 21/1645Z. THE
MOST PROBABLE GENERATOR OF THESE FLARES IS REGION 8124 (S22E66),
A 7-SPOT 'EAO' BETA GROUP. THE ONLY OTHER ACTIVE REGION CURRENTLY ON
THE VISIBLE DISK, REGION 8123 (N18W36), HAS BEEN QUIET WHILE DECAYING
INTO A 3-SPOT 'CSO' BETA.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW, DUE TO THE HIGH PROBABILITY FOR CONTINUED C-CLASS ACTIVITY FROM
REGION 8124.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET, WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 DEC a 24 DEC
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 DEC 092 Previsto 22 DEC-24 DEC 092/092/094 Media de 90 Días 21 DEC 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 DEC 003/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 DEC 004/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 DEC-24 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 DEC a 24 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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