Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 022 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. NEW
REGION 8142 (S21E08) EMERGED IN AN OLD PLAGE FIELD AND ANOTHER SMALL
SUNSPOT GROUP BECAME VISIBLE AT S35E73 AND WAS NUMBERED AS REGION
8143.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN QUIET ON 23 JAN. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
FOR THE 24-25 JAN PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION
OBSERVED EARLY ON 21 JAN. ISOLATED MINOR STORM LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THIS SMALL DISTURBANCE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 JAN a 25 JAN
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 JAN 093 Previsto 23 JAN-25 JAN 092/092/092 Media de 90 Días 22 JAN 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JAN 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JAN 002/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JAN-25 JAN 005/008-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 JAN a 25 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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