Viendo archivo del viernes, 23 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 023 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 8143 (S35E60)
PRODUCED SEVERAL SMALL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. THIS REGION GREW AT A SLOW
PACE. A SMALL REGION ROTATED AROUND THE EAST LIMB NEAR N12E65 AND
WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 8144.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY
VERY LOW. REGION 8143 IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED SMALL C-CLASS
FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
A SMALL GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE
IS EXPECTED ON 24-25 JAN. GENERALLY, UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST. ISOLATED MINOR STORM PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT
INTERVAL. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR ON 26 JAN.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 JAN a 26 JAN
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 JAN 097 Previsto 24 JAN-26 JAN 100/102/103 Media de 90 Días 23 JAN 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 JAN 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 JAN 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 JAN-26 JAN 012/010-012/012-008/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 JAN a 26 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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