Viendo archivo del domingo, 14 junio 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 14 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 165 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 JUN 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY DECLINED TO LOW LEVELS. REGION 8242 (S21E28) PRODUCED ISOLATED B- AND C-CLASS SUBFLARES. NO REMARKABLE GROWTH OR DECAY OCCURRED IN ANY OF THE SPOTTED REGIONS. NEW REGION 8248 (N21E02) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. REGIONS 8242, 8243 (N18E51), AND 8247 (S23E17) MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES. REGION 8242 MAY ALSO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGH 14/0300UT. FIELD ACTIVITY INCREASED TO ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS DURING 14/0400 - 0600UT, THEN DECLINED TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE ON DAY THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 JUN a 17 JUN
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       14 JUN 102
  Previsto   15 JUN-17 JUN  098/096/094
  Media de 90 Días        14 JUN 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUN  004/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUN  015/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUN-17 JUN  005/010-005/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 JUN a 17 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%35%
Tormenta Menor05%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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