Viendo archivo del domingo, 14 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 165 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY DECLINED TO LOW LEVELS. REGION 8242
(S21E28) PRODUCED ISOLATED B- AND C-CLASS SUBFLARES. NO REMARKABLE
GROWTH OR DECAY OCCURRED IN ANY OF THE SPOTTED REGIONS. NEW REGION
8248 (N21E02) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGIONS 8242, 8243 (N18E51), AND 8247 (S23E17) MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED
C-CLASS FLARES. REGION 8242 MAY ALSO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED M-CLASS
FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGH
14/0300UT. FIELD ACTIVITY INCREASED TO ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS
DURING 14/0400 - 0600UT, THEN DECLINED TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE
POSSIBLE ON DAY THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 JUN a 17 JUN
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 JUN 102 Previsto 15 JUN-17 JUN 098/096/094 Media de 90 Días 14 JUN 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUN 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUN 015/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUN-17 JUN 005/010-005/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 JUN a 17 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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