Viendo archivo del lunes, 15 junio 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 15 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 166 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 JUN 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE EXTENDING TO 0.31 SOLAR RADII OCCURRED ON THE SOUTHWEST LIMB AROUND 15/0600UT. A LONG-DURATION C1 X-RAY FLARE (15/0600-0937UT) AND CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME) ACCOMPANIED THE ERUPTION. THE CME DID NOT APPEAR TO BE EARTH-DIRECTED. A 36-DEGREE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED FROM THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT DURING 15/1314-1420UT. THIS LARGE, NORTH-SOUTH ALLIGNED FILAMENT WAS LAST SEEN CENTERED NEAR S62E17. NEW REGION 8249 (S27E74) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. REGIONS 8242 (S21E16), 8243 (N17E39), AND 8244 (N34E03) APPEAR CAPABLE OF ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARE PRODUCTION.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. HOWEVER, ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE FINAL TWO DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 JUN a 18 JUN
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       15 JUN 100
  Previsto   16 JUN-18 JUN  100/100/098
  Media de 90 Días        15 JUN 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 JUN  015/015
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 JUN  007/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 JUN-18 JUN  005/010-010/012-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 JUN a 18 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%30%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%35%30%
Tormenta Menor05%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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