Viendo archivo del viernes, 19 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8243 (N18W16)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A B2/SF AT
19/0045Z. REGION 8249 (S27E22) GENERATED A LONG-DURATION B8/SF
PEAKING AT 19/0711Z. NEW REGION 8251 (N16W24) IS EMERGING TO THE
WEST OF 8243.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO VERY LOW. ADDITIONAL SMALL FLARES ARE EXPECTED IN REGION 8243.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 JUN a 22 JUN
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 JUN 099 Previsto 20 JUN-22 JUN 100/100/098 Media de 90 Días 19 JUN 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 JUN 007/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 JUN 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 JUN-22 JUN 015/012-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 JUN a 22 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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