Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 197 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. NEW REGION 8275 (N16E64)
WAS NUMBERED TODAY. SEVERAL SUNSPOT GROUPS CONTRIBUTE TO THE NEAR
C-CLASS BACKGROUND AND HAVE THE POSSIBILITY TO GENERATE LOW M-CLASS
ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF M-CLASS ACTIVITY FROM REGIONS 8273 AND
8274.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO MINOR STORM
CONDITIONS. THE CAUSE OF THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE A
GEO-EFFECTIVELY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE. SOLAR WIND SPEEDS ROSE
FROM 300 KM/S NEAR THE START OF THE UT DAY TO NEARLY 700 KM/S FROM
06-1400 UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 JUL a 19 JUL
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 JUL 106 Previsto 17 JUL-19 JUL 106/107/108 Media de 90 Días 16 JUL 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 JUL 002/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 JUL 025/040 PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 JUL-19 JUL 015/018-012/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 JUL a 19 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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