Viendo archivo del martes, 30 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 181 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8256 (S24E04) PRODUCED A
C3/1F AT 2241Z. REGION 8253 (N17W29) PRODUCED THE LARGEST EVENT IN
THE LAST 24 HOURS, A C5/1F AT 0148Z. BOTH THESE REGIONS HAVE SHOWN
SLIGHT DECAY IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. REGION 8260'S (S22E44) MODERATE
GROWTH RATE SLOWED CONSIDERABLY TODAY. IT IS NOW A 16 SPOT E-TYPE
GROUP WITH MODERATE MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. NEW REGIONS 8263 (S19E67)
AND 8264 (N18E74) WERE NUMBERED TODAY BRINGING THE TOTAL NUMBER OF
SUNSPOT REGIONS TO NINE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. REGIONS 8253 AND 8260 HAVE POTENTIAL FOR C-CLASS ACTIVITY WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF M-CLASS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 JUL a 03 JUL
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 JUN 121 Previsto 01 JUL-03 JUL 124/126/126 Media de 90 Días 30 JUN 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JUN 006/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUN 004/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 JUL-03 JUL 010/012-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 JUL a 03 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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