Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 julio 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 JUL 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8253 (N18W43) PRODUCED TWO C-CLASS FLARES: A C1/SF AT 30/2301Z, AND A C6/SF AT 01/1840Z WITH A TYPE II SWEEP AND MODERATE DECAMETRIC BURSTS INCLUDING 110 SFU AT 2695 MHZ. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED TYPE II ALSO OCCURRED WITH A C1 FLARE AT 01/1020Z. REGION 8259 (N27E25) PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 01/0009Z. THIS REGION EXHIBITED SOME GROWTH AND DEVELOPED MODERATE MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. REGION 8256 (S23W08) PRODUCED A C3/1F AT 01/1814Z WITH A DISAPPEARING FILAMENT. THE REMAINING FIVE REGIONS WERE MOSTLY STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. SEVERAL OF THE EXISTING REGIONS ARE CAPABLE OF C-CLASS ACTIVITY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET,
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 JUL a 04 JUL
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 JUL 127
  Previsto   02 JUL-04 JUL  126/126/126
  Media de 90 Días        01 JUL 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JUN  003/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUL  004/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUL-04 JUL  010/012-010/012-012/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 JUL a 04 JUL
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%02%02%

All times in UTC

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