Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 septiembre 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 21 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 SEP 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST AND MOST ACTIVE REGION CURRENTLY VISIBLE, REGION 8340 (N19E25), PRODUCED A C2/SF AT 21/0806UT AND A C2/1F AT 21/1842UT. THIS REGION IS STILL UNDERGOING SLOW GROWTH AND IS CURRENTLY A DKO GROUP COVERING 540 MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA. REMAINING REGIONS WERE QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. CONTINUED C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FROM REGION 8340 WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN M-CLASS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS IN HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH OCCASIONAL ACTIVE PERIODS AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 SEP a 24 SEP
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 SEP 138
  Previsto   22 SEP-24 SEP  140/145/150
  Media de 90 Días        21 SEP 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 SEP  004/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 SEP  012/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 SEP-24 SEP  015/015-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 SEP a 24 SEP
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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