Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 octubre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 OCT 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8365 (S26W72) GENERATED
A SINGLE C1/SF X-RAY EVENT AT 24/0454Z. THE TWO OTHER ACTIVE REGIONS
ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 8366 (S11W43) AND 8367 (N17W42), WERE QUIET AND
UNREMARKABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW,
WITH CONTINUED C-CLASS ACTIVITY FROM REGION 8365 LIKELY AS IT
APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS RECORDED DURING
THE INTERVAL 24/0300-0900Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
REMAINED HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 OCT a 27 OCT
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 OCT 111 Previsto 25 OCT-27 OCT 110/110/112 Media de 90 Días 24 OCT 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 OCT 008/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 OCT 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 OCT-27 OCT 010/010-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 OCT a 27 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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