Viendo archivo del viernes, 23 octubre 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 296 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 OCT 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8365 (S27W61) CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SUBFLARES BUT AT A REDUCED RATE FROM THE LAST TWO DAYS. GROWTH IN THIS REGION APPEARS TO HAVE STABILIZED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE IN REGION 8365.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN POLAR CORONAL HOLE APPEARS TO BE ENDING. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 OCT a 26 OCT
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 OCT 113
  Previsto   24 OCT-26 OCT  112/112/115
  Media de 90 Días        23 OCT 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 OCT  012/018
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 OCT  012/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 OCT-26 OCT  010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 OCT a 26 OCT
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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