Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 noviembre 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 NOV 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8385 (N20W58) PRODUCED A C3/SF AT 12/2354Z AND REGION 8383 (S16E14) PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 13/0312Z. A NEW REGION WAS NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8386 (S20E57).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS. REGIONS 8383 AND 8385 ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING C AND M-CLASS FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL 13/0300Z WHEN IT BECAME ACTIVE TO MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST AND BECOME QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE LAST TWO DAYS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE PROBABLE CAUSE OF TODAYS ACTIVITY WAS THE PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION OBSERVED ON 09 NOV.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 NOV a 16 NOV
Clase M50%40%40%
Clase X10%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 NOV 135
  Previsto   14 NOV-16 NOV  130/130/130
  Media de 90 Días        13 NOV 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 NOV  003/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 NOV  040/055
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 NOV-16 NOV  015/020-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 NOV a 16 NOV
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%25%25%
Tormenta Menor20%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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